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CIBC Names Keyera, Pembina as Top Energy Infrastructure Picks Ahead of Q1 Earnings Season

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-- CIBC Capital Markets on Wednesday named Keyera (KEY.TO) and Pembina Pipeline (PPL.TO) as its top energy infrastructure picks heading into the first-quarter earnings season.

Keyera has unrealized value in the pending acquisition of Plains' natural gas liquids assets, although the timing is more likely at quarter-end, CIBC said.

Pembina also offers upside tied to the Greenlight Electricity Centre project, as well as a potential increase in marketing guidance, CIBC said.

Pembina also has the strongest potential to increase marketing guidance, although historically it has been reluctant to do so early in the year, CIBC added.

"More broadly, we believe the constant macro news flow may create trading opportunities for investors who are nimble and able to tolerate the associated portfolio turnover," CIBC said.

CIBC upgraded TC Energy's (TRP.TO) rating to outperformer from neutral while raising the price target to $89.00 from $85.00, reflecting higher expected returns from recent projects, with the increased return profile driving the rating change.

CIBC also increased AltaGas (ALA.TO)'s price target to $51.00 from $50.00 on a stronger liquefied petroleum gas outlook.

Superior Plus (SPB.TO)'s rating also moved to outperformer from neutral following its data center announcement for its Certarus unit.

Price: $48.92, Change: $+0.71, Percent Change: +1.47%

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Capstone Copper Q1 Profit Jumps Nearly 12-Fold, Beats Estimates On Higher Copper Prices

Capstone Copper (CS.TO) after the close Wednesday reported a nearly 12-fold surge in first-quarter adjusted net income as higher copper prices boosted earnings, with results topping analysts' estimates.The company posted record adjusted net income attributable to shareholders , excluding most one-time items, of US$94.8 million, or US$0.12 per share, up from US$8.1 million, or US$0.01 per share, a year earlier. The result exceeded FactSet analysts' estimate of US$0.11 per share.Capstone said the increase was driven by stronger earnings from mining operations, supported by higher realized copper prices.Revenue for the three months ended March 31 rose to US$652.5 million from US$533.3 million in the prior-year period, beating FactSet analysts' estimate of US$647.5 million.The company also reported record adjusted EBITDA of US$329.1 million for Q1 2026, up from US$179.9 million a year earlier, primarily due to higher realized copper prices, which rose 36% to US$5.92 per pound, and supported by stronger gold and silver prices. This marked the sixth consecutive quarter of record adjusted EBITDA, the company said.In its 2026 production outlook, the company issued guidance of 200,000 to 230,000 tonnes of copper and C1 cash costs guidance of $2.45 to $2.75 per payable pound of copper remains unchanged. 2026 capital expenditure, capitalized stripping, and exploration expenditure guidance is also unchanged."We continue to monitor and manage the impacts stemming from the conflict in the Middle East. To date we have not experienced any inventory or operational impacts, however cost pressures, notably from higher diesel and sulphuric acid prices, represent a headwind," Capstone said.The company said its MV Optimized Project progressed according to plan during Q1 2026 and the capital cost estimate of US$176 million is unchanged. MV Optimized is a capital-efficient brownfield expansion project providing incremental copper and gold production of approximately 20,000 tonnes and 6,000 ounces of gold per annum, respectively."For the remainder of 2026, we are focused on operational execution and continuing to advance our high-return organic growth opportunities, including executing the Mantoverde Optimized Project, advancing Santo Domingo to a sanctioning decision, and progressing our exploration strategy centered around district-scale growth. Despite recent geopolitical volatility, copper prices remain strong and fundamentals support continued momentum, reinforcing our ability to deliver significant value through our peer-leading growth pipeline," chief executive Cashel Meagher said,Company's shares closed down $0.21 to $10.84 on Toronto Stock Exchange.

$CS.TO