FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

EMEA Natural Gas Update: Futures Slip Despite Fragile Ceasefire, Persistent Iran Attacks

-- European natural gas futures were down on Friday, despite the fragile nature of the ceasefire between the US and Iran, and Tehran's continued attacks against regional energy infrastructure.

The front-month Dutch TTF contract fell 2.06% to 45.22 euros ($52.81) per megawatt-hour, while UK NBP futures lost 2.36% to 114.00 pence ($1.50) per therm. Dutch TTF was set to end the week down by 9.58%, while UK gas was down 9.73%, according to data from Trading Economics.

Iran's state-run media, on Friday, dismissed reports of senior officials visiting Pakistan to hold diplomatic talks with the US, according to a report by the Hindustan Times.

The Tasnim News Agency reportedly reiterated the country's stance on the peace talks, saying, "As long as the [US] does not fulfill its commitment to the ceasefire in Lebanon and the Zionist regime continues its attacks, the negotiations are on hold."

Meanwhile, Tehran continued targeting regional energy infrastructure, striking a key Saudi pipeline facility on Thursday and disrupting roughly 700,000 barrels per day of oil flows, according to various news outlets.

Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, the CEO of Adnoc, the UAE's state-owned oil company, said that despite the ceasefire being announced earlier this week, the Strait of Hormuz was not open.

Access to the crucial Strait, which handles 20% of global LNG flows, he said, was still being "restricted, conditioned and controlled," in a social media post on Thursday.

As the Strait's closure is set to enter its seventh week, just 9 vessels transited through it over the past 24 hours, according to the Hormuz Strait Monitor.

This is in sharp contrast to the typical daily average of 138 ships per day, according to the UK's Joint Maritime Information Center, which noted that there were no new vessel attacks over the past 24 hours.

Daniel Hynes, a senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said there was "no end in sight to the impasse," as LNG tankers continued to remain stuck in the Persian Gulf.

Hynes also added that the resulting supply tightness was being compounded by the outages in Australia's LNG facilities, with Chevron's Wheatstone gas facility operating at jsut 50% of capacity, due to damage from Cyclone Narelle last month.

All of this comes at a critical juncture for European markets, as the region enters refilling season with low inventories, at just 28.92% of capacity, compared to 34.97% last year, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe.

Related Articles

Australia

Cognizant Technology Solutions' AI Lab Secures Three New US Patents

Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH) said its AI Lab received three new US patents, bringing its total to 65 US patents and 88 globally worldwide as the company advances research in human-AI collaboration and machine-learning systems.The patents cover improvements to decision-recommendation models, automated creation and tuning of neural-network activation functions, and distributed learning techniques that allow AI systems to share and reuse knowledge more effectively across teams, the company said Thursday in a statement.Price: $55.26, Change: $-3.55, Percent Change: -6.04%

$CTSH
Commodities

Golden Pass LNG Ships First Cargo Amid Global Supply Strains, EIA Says

The Golden Pass LNG terminal shipped its first LNG cargo from Train 1, marking a key milestone for what is the 10th LNG export facility in the US, the US Energy Information Administration said on Thursday.The inaugural shipment departed on April 22, just 23 days after the facility achieved initial LNG production in March.The startup comes amid heightened geopolitical tensions affecting flows through the Strait of Hormuz, where disruptions have impacted over 10 billion cubic feet per day, roughly one-fifth of global gas supply.Golden Pass LNG is currently the only new US export terminal expected to begin shipments in 2026.The project, a 70:30 joint venture between QatarEnergy and ExxonMobil (XOM), reached a final investment decision in February 2019.Construction timelines were later extended after the lead contractor filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2024, forcing the developers to appoint a replacement to complete the project.The facility includes three liquefaction trains, each designed with a nominal capacity of 0.7 Bcf/d and a peak capacity of 0.8 Bcf/d. Once fully operational, the terminal will have a total nominal capacity of 2 Bcf/d and peak capacity of 2.4 Bcf/d.LNG plants often exceed nominal capacity in practice while remaining below peak thresholds.Upon completion, Golden Pass LNG is expected to rank as the third-largest US LNG export facility by nominal capacity, trailing Sabine Pass and Plaquemines LNG.The developers plan to bring Train 2 online in the second half of 2026, followed by Train 3 in the first half of 2027.Price: $149.74, Change: $+0.24, Percent Change: +0.16%

$XOM
Research

Research Alert: Mbly: Shares Surge Following Q1 Beat & Raised Guidance

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Mobileye Global (MBLY) posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.12 vs. $0.08 (+51%), ahead of the $0.09 consensus. The quarter was characterized by stronger-than-expected sales offset by weaker-than-expected margins, as revenue rose 27% to $558M ($38M above consensus) and adjusted gross margin contracted 240 bps to 66% (20 bps below consensus). EyeQ volumes were up 27% Y/Y, which drove the beat. MBLY raised prior 2026 guidance for revenue and adjusted operating profit to $1.935B-$2.015B and $185M-$235M, respectively, from $1.90B-$1.98B and $170M-$220M. MBLY also announced a $250M share repurchase program. MBLY ended Q1 with total cash and equivalents of $1.34B versus only $51M of debt. Expectations were low heading into the release and the stock has seen a surge in short interest in recent months to ~17% of the float. In our view, sentiment toward the name had become overly bearish (especially considering MBLY's backlog, gross margins, and large net cash position), now setting up the stock for a significant short squeeze.

$MBLY