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FINWIRES

Germany's DAX Index Retreats; SAP Surges on Higher Q1 Earnings

-- Germany's blue-chip DAX index closed Friday lower by 0.11%, as investors weighed the stalled US-Iran peace talks against the latest round of corporate earnings and trading updates.

As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, tensions linger between Washington and Tehran, with no signs of further talks on the horizon. US President Donald Trump said he is willing to wait for an "everlasting" peace deal, even as he authorized the US Navy to fire on mine-laying boats in the embattled waterway.

Against this backdrop, the ifo Institute's business climate indicator fell to 84.4 points in April 2026 from the revised 86.3 points earlier, below the consensus estimate of 85.7 points on Investing.com. The latest reading marked the index's lowest level since May 2020, with both the current situation index and expectations indicator falling from a month ago and missing market expectations.

"The war in the Middle East and soaring energy prices have again exposed the fact that Germany is one of Europe's largest net importers of energy. ... With the war in the Middle East now gradually shifting from a pure energy price shock towards an energy supply and broader supply chain shock, the German economy is once again at the centre of an exogenous, global, disruption," ING said. "All of this said, even if sentiment is suffering enormous setbacks right now and fears of another year of stagnation have returned, it should be clear that the planned investments in defence and infrastructure are still on track and should support the economy this year and beyond. The fiscal impulse is real, it just needs time to reach the real economy."

On the corporate front, SAP (SAP.F) gained 4.68%, rising to the top of the blue-chip index, after reporting an increase in first-quarter earnings on robust cloud business performance, with total revenue up 6% year over year to 9.56 billion euros. The German software company maintained its full-year 2026 forecasts, including 23% to 25% cloud revenue growth at constant currencies, while noting the outlook remains contingent on the de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.

Meanwhile, BofA Global Research upgraded its price objective and earnings estimates for Siemens Energy (ENR.F) to account for the company's revised fiscal 2026 outlook. The German energy company now projects revenue growth between 14% and 16%, improving upon its previous 11% to 13% estimate, among others.

"We raise our 2026/27 adj EBITA estimates 8/12% after ENR's guide upgrade yesterday (+10/16% vs consensus) and lift our [free cash flow] estimates 40/11% too (+42/37% vs consensus). As a result, we raise our [price objective] to EUR250 from EUR220. Reiterate Buy," the research firm wrote. Siemens Energy was up 2.64% at the end of the last trading day of the week.

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Mining & Metals

RBC Provides its Canadian Technology Q1/CY26 Preview

RBC Capital Markets provided a first-quarter earnings preview for stocks in its Canadian Technology coverage universe on Friday.The S&P/TSX Info-Tech sub-sector had its "worst start to the year" since 2022, due to the continued downward re-rating of software stocks on concerns regarding AI disruption, noted RBC.While RBC expects Q1 results to be "largely in line" with consensus and believes the "magnitude of the pullback in software valuations is an overreaction," it believes sentiment is unlikely to materially change in the short term.Even though RBC anticipates "slightly improved organic growth" for the average stock in its coverage this quarter, the market appears "risk-averse and may largely ignore positive surprises and disproportionately penalize negative surprises," in light of the market sensitivity regarding AI disruption and uncertainty regarding the macro environment, said RBC.Among its covered stocks, RBC believes the "best-positioned stocks" for calendar Q1 results are Celestica (CLS.TO), Shopify (SHOP.TO), Constellation Software (CSU.TO), and Kinaxis (KXS.TO).RBC believes Celestica will report Q1 earnings above consensus and increase FY26 guidance, given hyperscaler capex continues to increase, along with strong network switch and AI server demand, against Celestica's historically conservative outlook, added RBC."Given the strong 36% YTD rally in Celestica's shares, Q1 results may not be a catalyst for the stock," said RBC. "Even so, we believe Celestica's strong growth momentum, ongoing margin expansion, and mix shift to more structurally attractive segments of the market are likely to help sustain Celestica's valuation to remain above peers and toward the high end of its historical range."For Shopify, RBC expects "solid" Q1 results and Q2 guidance slightly above consensus estimates.U.S. e-commerce spending strengthened through Q1, noted RBC which it believes implies revenue growth accelerates sequentially, with Q1 revenue and adj. EPS likely slightly above consensus."While the valuation of Shopify's shares has re-rated down with the YTD pullback in software stocks, Shopify's fundamentals remain solid, in our view, and we expect strong growth to drive shareholder returns over the long term," said RBC.RBC expects Constellation's shares to modestly rally following Q1 results."With the stock trading near multi-year valuation lows, we see investor sentiment improving, given Q1 slightly ahead of consensus, TTM free cashflow up 25%, and annualized Q1 capital deployed on acquisitions likely tracking to a new record," said RBC. "We see Constellation's valuation as compelling, compared to our forecast for a 17% adj. EBITDA CAGR over the next 3 years."RBC believes Kinaxis's shares may "slightly rally" following Q1 results. It expects Kinaxis to report "solid" Q1 results, slightly above consensus, with continued growth re-acceleration and likely healthy bookings."With Kinaxis seeing reaccelerating growth, but trading at discounted valuation levels, we see compelling risk-reward on the shares," added RBC. "Moreover, ramping share buybacks may provide a floor for the stock."Price: $565.60, Change: $+28.12, Percent Change: +5.23%

$AIF.TO$CGY.TO$CLS.TO$CSU.TO$CVO.TO$GIB-A.TO$ISC.TO$KXS.TO$LMN.V$OTEX.TO$SHOP.TO$TOI.V$VHI.TO
Sectors

Sector Update: Health Care Stocks Decline in Afternoon Trading

Health care stocks were lower Friday afternoon, with the NYSE Health Care Index and the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) each shedding 1.4%.The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) decreased 0.7%.In sector news, the US Food and Drug Administration said it was launching regulatory actions to back the development of psychedelic therapies to treat mental illness. The move builds on President Donald Trump's recent executive order directing the Department of Health and Human Services to accelerate access to treatments for people with serious mental illness, the FDA said.In corporate news, HCA Healthcare's (HCA) Q1 results exceeded market expectations, but the hospital operator said it did not see its usual seasonal lift in admissions amid declines in respiratory activity. Its shares dropped 9%.Organon (OGN) shares surged 28% amid a report that India's Sun Pharmaceutical Industries was planning a $13 billion bid for the company.Compass Pathways (CMPS) shares rose 5% after it said Friday the US Food and Drug Administration has granted its rolling review request for its new drug application and selected COMP360 for the Commissioner's National Priority Voucher program for treatment-resistant depression.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Friday Afternoon

Consumer stocks were mixed Friday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) down 0.3% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 0.8%.In sector news, US consumer sentiment improved from an initial April estimate, but remained at a record low as near-term inflation expectations logged the biggest monthly increase in a year, final University of Michigan survey results showed Friday. The main sentiment index fell 6.6% to 49.8 from last month. The consensus in a Bloomberg poll expected the April reading to be revised to 48.5 from the preliminary estimate of 47.6.In corporate news, Procter & Gamble (PG) reported stronger-than-expected fiscal Q3 results on Friday, while the consumer goods giant reiterated its full-year outlook. Shares rose 3.2%.Charter Communications (CHTR) reported Q1 earnings below market estimates as revenue declined annually, driven by weakness in the residential video and Internet segments. Shares slumped 22%.Stellantis (STLA) plans to direct the bulk of its future investment toward Jeep, Ram, Peugeot, and Fiat under Chief Executive Antonio Filosa's turnaround strategy, Reuters reported. The carmaker is set to unveil the long-term plan in May, focusing on strengthening its most profitable global brands while streamlining its sprawling 14-brand portfolio, the industry's largest, the report said. Stellantis shares were down 3%.

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