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Research Alert: Alk: Q1 Loss Widens On Fuel Headwinds; Company Suspends Full-year Guidance

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-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

ALK reported Q1 adjusted EPS of -$1.68, widening from -$0.77 in the prior year and missing the -$1.55 consensus, while revenue of $3.3B (+5.2%) met expectations. Unit revenue rose 3.5%, led by strong corporate travel (+19%) and premium segments, but unit costs increased 6.3% from airport, maintenance, and pilot training pressures. The Hawaiian integration and Alaska Accelerate strategy are delivering results ahead of schedule, with Seattle-Tokyo achieving profitability and 90%+ load factors within a year of launch. Management suspended full-year guidance due to fuel cost volatility, though ALK maintains confidence in its long-term trajectory. Looking ahead, Q2 fuel costs are expected to average $4.50 per gallon, representing a 51% sequential increase and $600M headwind equivalent to $3.60/share. We believe the $10 2027 EPS target will be increasingly challenging given current fuel dynamics and guidance suspension, but operational excellence during integration demonstrates management's execution capabilities.

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