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Research Alert: Avalonbay Communities Q1 2026: Slight Ffo Beat, But Flat Cash Noi

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-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

AVB reported Q1 2026 results with FFO at $2.83, flat Y/Y but $0.03 above consensus. Rental revenue rose 3.3% Y/Y while operating expenses surged 4.7%, resulting in weak same-store NOI growth of just 0.2% Y/Y. Same-store occupancy was flat at 96.1% vs. 96.0% a year ago, and turnover decreased to 31.6% from 32.1%. We like AVB's portfolio profile, with 80% exposure to premier East Coast (35%) and West Coast (45%) markets. We are monitoring the 20% Sun Belt allocation, which faces new supply pressures. The trust is guiding Q2 2026 FFO of $2.72-$2.82 per share, with full-year 2026 same-store NOI ranging from -0.7% to +1.3%. AVB has $3.39B in community developments underway that target suburban markets. We think total debt of $9.4B is manageable. Utility expenses surged 12.5% Y/Y in New England and Mid-Atlantic markets, reflecting ongoing inflationary pressures. Despite these cost headwinds, we believe there's financial flexibility to fund the development pipeline in high-barrier-to-entry coastal markets.

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