FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Erase Recent Gains as Storage Swells

-- US natural gas futures extended earlier losses in after-hours trading, wiping out recent gains after government data showed a larger-than-expected injection into storage.

The front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract both fell 4.59% to $2.597 per million British thermal units.

The decline followed bearish data from the US Energy Information Administration that showed natural gas inventories in underground storage rose by 103 billion cubic feet for the week ended Apr. 17. The build exceeded market expectations for a 95-98 Bcf increase. Total stockpiles climbed to 2,063 Bcf, leaving inventories 142 Bcf above year-ago levels and 137 Bcf above the five-year average. The injection also surpassed last year's 77 Bcf build and the five-year average increase of 64 Bcf.

The Energy Buyers Guide said the 103-Bcf build was the largest on record at this point in the injection season, reflecting very low weather-related demand. Consumption across all domestic sectors hovered near seasonal minimums during the reporting week, offsetting the impact of weaker net supply. It also noted that inventories held just a 3-Bcf surplus as of Mar. 20, but that cushion has expanded to 137 Bcf over the past four weeks.

A warmer US weather outlook is expected to further dampen heating demand, putting additional pressure on prices. Barchart, citing The Commodity Weather Group, said above-average temperatures are forecast across the eastern half of the US through Apr. 27.

Total demand was estimated at 67.7 Bcf per day, up 3.1% over this time last year, Barchart said, citing BNEF data. Aegis Hedging said residential and commercial demand continued to decline as the Lower 48 weather warms, falling by a further 2 Bcf/d to 12.7 Bcf/d. That drop was partially offset by a 1.5 Bcf/d increase in power-sector demand.

On the supply side, Barchart said Lower 48 dry gas production was estimated at 110.6 Bcf/d on Thursday, up 3.7% from a year earlier. Net flows to US LNG export terminals were near capacity at 19.8 Bcf/d, up 0.3% week-on-week.

Geopolitical developments provided some underlying support. The most recent Dallas Fed survey of energy executives showed they expect the Strait of Hormuz to remain closed for months, potentially curtailing Middle Eastern supplies and boosting US LNG exports to help fill the gap.

The EIA also reported that Golden Pass LNG shipped its first cargo on Wednesday, becoming the 10th LNG export terminal in the US. The launch comes as disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz have affected more than 10 Bcf/d, around 20%, of global supply. Golden Pass LNG is currently the only new US export facility expected to begin shipments in 2026.

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Eqt Corp.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Our 12-month target price remains $62, a combination of relative valuation and DCF models. On a relative basis, we apply a 6.2x multiple of enterprise value to projected 2027 EBITDA, above EQT's historical forward average. We think a small premium is defendable, given an improving operating cost profile. Our DCF model, using medium-term free cash flow growth of 4%, terminal growth of 2%, and WACC of 6.7%, yields a value of $70 per share. We lift our 2026 EPS estimate by $0.04 to $4.85 and 2027's by $0.01 to $4.68. Natural gas pricing has dissipated to a degree recently, leading EQT to pull back some production in Q2, but we still see modest volume growth in 2026. Longer-term growth drivers tied to data centers and liquefied natural gas export demand look intact, in our view. We think the most positive development is the improvement in free cash flow. Net debt levels are creeping closer to management's targeted levels.

$EQT
Australia

Unico Silver Reduces Rigs at Argentina Drilling Operations During Transition to Winter Operations

Unico Silver (ASX:USL) said it reduced the number of drill rigs under its drilling operations in Argentina to two from three as it moves into reduced winter operations, according to a Friday Australian bourse filing.The company plans to update the Joaquin project mineral resource estimate in the June quarter to incorporate recent infill drilling.In the same filing, the company said it is conducting pre-feasibility work streams, including geotechnical drilling and interpretation to define open-pit slope and design parameters, as well as comminution and metallurgical test work to confirm processing assumptions and recovery pathways.The company's shares fell past 1% in recent trading on Friday.

$ASX:USL
Asia

Japan Stocks Open Higher on Iran Talks, Lebanon Ceasefire Extension

Japanese shares slightly rose at the start of Friday's session, as investors remain cautiously optimistic on the U.S.-Iran negotiations after an extended ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.The Nikkei 225 rose 267.2 points or 0.5% to open at 59,407.44President Donald Trump announced a three-week extension of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, yet investors stayed wary as market direction depends on whether tensions with Iran intensify or move toward diplomatic solutions.The West Texas Intermediate climbed to about $97 a barrel, while Brent Crude closed at nearly $105 on Thursday.At home, Japan's core inflation accelerated to 1.8% in March from 1.6% the previous month, driven by higher energy costs-a trend that could affect the Bank of Japan's decision to leave its benchmark rate unchanged coming Tuesday.

$^N225